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The Future Of Possible

Not because I missed the great run-up (though I did) and not because I fear that the bitcoin bubble will end badly (it will, but that’s not my problem). Rather, it is because I have been waiting for decades for someone to invent a purely digital currency, a currency for online purchases that wasn’t linked to a credit card. It This was the killer app that no one has ever discovered.

Thus When bitcoin was first discovered, I hoped that it would be. The One. In “Digital Gold,” his book about bitcoin’s origins, Nathaniel Popper Get quotes by email Satoshi Nakamoto, the cryptocurrency’s mysterious and possibly apocryphal inventor, “I’ve been working on a new electronic cash system that’s fully peer-to-peer, with no trusted third party.”

That’s how all the early bitcoin enthusiasts thought of it a currency, one that allowed consumers to buy things.

That’s how all the early bitcoin enthusiasts thought of it — a currency, one that allowed consumers to buy things while sidestepping both the banking system and national governments. What The bitcoin bubble is a sign that bitcoin is not a successful e-currency. But I’m getting ahead of myself.

When I met a brilliant mathematician and cryptographer named “Alfred”, I was first introduced to digital currency. David ChaumElectronic cash, also known as e-cash, was invented by. It did exactly what bitcoin purports to do — allow people to use virtual money, stored on their computer, to make purchases and send money to other people.

Chaum He was a genius. He His company DigiCash was founded five years before either the creation or acquisition of either. NetscapeThe browser is popularized by, Amazon. By 1998 DigiCash was declared bankrupt.

What Then came the short-lived “information wants to be free” era. NapsterThe company was founded in 1999 and used peer-to-peer technology which allowed music lovers to illegally download music. Newspapers didn’t have paywalls, and many people came to assume that news shouldn’t cost anything. I saw my own children downloading music and even movies, and when I would tell them they were violating the law, they would tell me I didn’t understand how the world worked in the internet age.

As E-commerce became a reality, and the only method of payment was a creditcard.

As E-commerce became a reality, and the only method of payment was a creditcard. It This was a real commercial barrier: whenever you wanted to purchase something, you had to fill in your credit card information plus your billing address. If it was different, you also had to fill in your shipping address. And Once you have done that, hackers would be able to access your information. Electronic These problems could have been solved by currency. If my children had access to a digital currency — maybe their allowance! — Napster Could have made deals with record companies and charged for songs. They Would have happily paid. And E-cash would have made internet commerce almost frictionless. By 2000, the chief operating officer of an online bank was saying “We’ve reached the point where the internet economy needs e-cash.”

It It has never happened. InsteadEntrepreneurs and companies came up with a variety of workarounds that worked, some better than others. The The most well-known was PayPal, which basically accessed your bank account or credit card account to make payments or send money. Apple And Amazon It is much easier to purchase things. Washington Post Subscription, I hit “Amazon Pay” button and it’s done. Even So, when we shop online, we still spend a lot of time filling in credit card information.

MeanwhileEvery effort to create an electronic currency was unsuccessful. One I remember was called Qpass And another called WebPay. In In the early 2000s, egold was seen as a possible solution. But it was used primarily for criminal purposes. In 2008, its founder pleaded guilty money laundering.

According to the website 99bitcoins.comThere are 89 companies that claim to accept bitcoin as currency, including Subway, the Massachusetts Institute This is Technology bookstore, and Museum The Coastal Bend In Victoria, Texas. But I can’t imagine anyone actually using it to pay for something. Who What if bitcoin prices rise by $500 in 10 minutes? Would you still use bitcoin to purchase? And Who would want to accept bitcoin when it could drop by $500 in the next 10 seconds?

Whatever Bitcoin, despite its original purpose, has become an asset that is only used for speculation. “There is simply no way to predict what it will be worth,” Pete Kight, “fintech” (Financial Technology) Investor who founded Checkfree 1981 That Electronic currency is its fatal flaw.

OrIt is, in fact, one of them. The The other flaw of the system is its very essence, which many people love. It operates separately from the government’s fiat currency. “I call it the tyranny of brilliance,” Kight. “When you work in fintech, you often see engineering genius get out of synch with what works in the real world.”

In He said that bitcoin was an example of this: “There is this thing called the Federal Reserve. Its first job is to protect the financial system of the United States. For a cryptocurrency to be successful, it has to work out with the Fed how it won’t undermine the banking system.”

I can only imagine that bitcoin will continue trading after the bubble bursts. Maybe A few other cryptocurrencies will follow similar paths, though most will disappear into nothingness. It could reflect the larger economy in a way, rising in some environments and falling elsewhere. In In the best case scenario, bitcoin could be considered the digital equivalent to gold.

There’s nothing wrong with that. But we’ll have to wait a little longer for an electronic currency that works.

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